FUD – brought to you …

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by the WHO and BBC? How strange. Of course many Britons will take the headline and think “at least we have Brexit to protect us”.

People reading on in this byline-less ‘news thing’ will not find any hints just where Covid-19 is ravaging on the continent as the headline implicated.

Boiling up an alarmist (Covid) headline for clicks is nothing new. Just strange to see the venerable BBC and well meaning WHO being engaged in it.

If Dr Kluge does indeed not care to name those eleven countries with “very significant” resurgences, why does this junk info even get multiplied? As a Regional Director [Clever] Hans should know better than to provide such incomplete information that can be cast into alarmist dross.

Ankermann PC

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I wondered how much a Windows10 PC with SSD would be. Turns out in June 2020 200 EUR at Amazon is all I needed to pay for a black box described as:

Ankermann Business Work Silent leise PC
PC Intel CPU 2X 2.70 Ghz dual Core HD Graphic 
8GB RAM 240GB SSD Windows 10 PRO Office Professional

Got here when it should. Was well packaged. Didn’t smell. Even came with a DVI to VGA adapter. Yes, it makes a tiny little bit of noise. But otherwise I can not complain. Lots of connections, card slots, DVD recorder. Windows10 pro worked fine, Office is pre installed and licensed as well. For what I want to do this will probably be do just great.

EDIT1: The machine did everything it was supposed to do. Time to try some more stuff. Fusion 360 installed, but was sluggish and rightfully complaining about the graphics adapter. Da Vinci Resolve kinda installed (itself and lots of other things). After a couple of reboots that were required it said that it was not able to run. Which is totally fine. A small standalone app that could quickly check a machine configuration in respect to the Resolve requirements would probably a neat addition. Also helpful for support etc. It would pay for itself if it would generate links to purchase things that can improve the specific situation. It would run and spit out what you currently could do with your configuration. It would show you what you could do if you would upgrade CPU, Gfx, disk system. And it could tell Blackmagic Design what people are running their wonderful software on.

I ended up adding a GT 7100 with 2GB for 50 EUR. Fusion is much happier and snappier (which makes me happier) Resolve did install and launch. Haven’t worked with it at this point. The system boots into 4K right away and looks decent.

Inserting the card I was surprised how the case is built around so much air. The whole system would fit into a 40% of the current volume. Funny that a larger case is the cheaper thing.

s u p p o r t

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google is a strange thing. On one side their machines kind a run the planet. On the other hand they are so obtuse in dealing with clients it is outright comical.

Edit: and then I got two emails back in record time asking intelligent questions in how they could help. Surprised. Delighted not just yet: Easier to emit boilerplate than to actually fix something. But still, so much better than no response.

Edit2: In the end Google.fi support came through. Or it just started working again. The support experience was not as I had feared after all.

Ich versuche es ja

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Immer mal wieder versuche ich auch woanders Bücher zu kaufen. Es gibt Händler und Verlage die einen Gastzugang erlauben. War hier bei Temmen leider nicht so. Man soll sich durch 5 Punkte hangeln, am Ende belohnt dann das Ausrufezeichen vom “Fertig!”

Bezahlen kann per Lastschrift. Aber eben auch nur so. Ne, dann doch lieber nicht. Klar man kann so bezahlen. Ist natürlich nicht wirklich unsicher. Ich habe nur keine Lust jetzt noch mehr Sachen einzugeben. Dispute sollen auch eher byzantin ablaufen.

Das Buch habe ich dann dort gekauft wo ich es immer tue. Das geht richtig schnell. Die Menschen die sich gerne über die Allmacht des Internethandels Konzerns aufregen, täten gut daran zu eruieren woher diese Vormachtstellung denn eigentlich kommt. Oft ist ja zu hören, dass die dort Arbeitenden aufs schrecklichste ausgebeutet würden. Es stimmt bestimmt, dass man als Picker nicht viel zum Popeln kommt. Aber die Ausbeutung von Arbeitenden ist es auch ganz sicher nicht die das eine Unternehmen so groß gemacht hat: Auf den Trick wenig zu bezahlen und Menschen dann aufs perfideste anzutreiben sind andere schon gekommen. Schon seit langem, immer wieder und in deutlich schärferen Ausmassen.

Der Unterschied ist vielmehr dass das Unternehmen customer centric ist. Der Kern aller Aktivitäten ist es, den Kunden weiter zu helfen. Darum geht kaufen dort so reibungslos. Und darum lehnt man es dann ab mit Seiten zu arbeiten die nur eine Zahlungsart zulassen. Schade für Temmen.

rejection mk2

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Doing the same thing – expecting different results is supposedly a definition of insanity.

As catchy as that phrase is, I don’t like it very much. It does insanity a disservice. Even though it has an interesting origin. One that is surprisingly recent.

If you would consider now, that I could see the slightest upside in that orange mans disastrous reign you would be wildly mistaken. A bit sad is, that one has to place such a signifier of ones position next to even such a benign observation: After all, it is what it is. There is no need to talk from a specific side about the facts. One of which that is, that all polls (in case you were asking “which polls”) had him loosing all the time last time as well.

A bridge in China

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China grows. If you grow you have more traffic. Building bridges helps with traffic. Today, 2020 June 24, a new bridge over the Han river opened in the five million city of Xiangyang in the Hubei province*.

The actual size of the project is not really noteworthy, but the design and color scheme are not like bridges we used to see in the past. I am not fond of it, but new and different stuff has some allure. We will probably be seeing more Chinese design in public buildings.

*In 2020 allot more people around the world know where Hubei is.

sar 1 0

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The unix sar command is a nice way to have a quick view of how a system has been doing. The default shows cpu and IO, but its output can be customized to your hearts desire. Should said organ harbor indeed things of that nature.

Looking live at values is possible too. You just have to give the program the sampling time in seconds and -and this is the kicker- optionally the number of repetitions. For instance: observing how the next minute works out for your machine in 6 six equal time chunks would require you to enter:

sar 10 6 

So far, so good. But what if you want to look constantly? More than 20 years ago I learned that using

sar 1 0

would just give me that. The zero as the last parameter was interpreted as having no end to the repetition. Zero resulting in an never ending eternity. Yes, if marketing people don’t breathe down your neck, you can put things like this into what you create.

But no good deed goes unpunished. It turns out an even smarter option is it, to make that second parameter entirely optional:

sar 1

already gets you that desired simple output. That works, is awesome, and the right thing to implement it like.

Working on a more recent machine (we are talking decades here, not even kidding) I did not get the expected output when I applied finger muscle memory and then old known pattern. Then it got funny: I read the manual, googled around, emailed the author. I just felt solving this. Apparently I felt like writing about it too. All the while the machine – that I am now successfully looking at – revealed to me what it was doing, when it got bogged down.

I am unaware about what has led to my actual epiphany to consider the omission of the second parameter. Paying closer attention to such circumstances seems like a very fruitful enterprise.

I looked back, and I encountered the issue 2013 already. Back then, I must shamefully admit, I solved it by just entering a large second number.

Two years ago it actually took me 7 seconds to find the right solution already. For me a quick solution will seemingly not be remembered when there are so much previous habits and repetitions.

AI predicting ‘criminals’ based on their face

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Harrisburg University currently incinerates this paper (PR for it via archive.org). I wonder how people can spend months working on a concept like this and don’t prepare for all the not so pleasant attention it will surefire gather upon its surfacing.

I have no idea about the content. If something does not get published it can not be examined.

I would not be surprised if there would be two sides looking at this: One says that it is not morally right to conduct such an investigation. The other will say that it is not morally right if certain thoughts and research directions are not allowed. Discussions of this nature lately not often end up in an amicable exchange of each others viewpoints.

Not related to this I personal find trouble in the term “criminals”. “people exposing criminal behavior” I like more. The later word is a determination. A person is so many cm tall, has a certain eye color and is – well – criminal or not. Which is wrong.

Of course most criminal behavior emerges from the same perpetrators. It should always be the criminal action that gets punished, not the person per se. A society where the government instruments strong deterrents against such behavior benefits in very great measure. Even better: All people – regardless of their wealth – will have a better life. It would be stupid and counter productive ignoring the reality of said behavior clusters around certain people. But it should always be the actions of a person that get punished. Not more, not less. Actions happen in the real world, they can weight and judged by others, and therefor rightfully punished. I personally like the sound of the German ahnden actually better than that of its English equivalent.

These things are known since 200 years or more. Sometimes I wonder for how much longer. If we cancel research – only because the initial premise is stupid and not fitting dogma – we might hasten the demise of knowledge.

Saturday Night Fever

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Yes, there was even more dancing in the movie at some point.

These scenes did not make it into final cut like this.

Today they look pretty odd: All those suits. The almost North Korea like alignment of the people. What an idea of ‘fun’ or even ‘dance’ …

June 2020 and still the biggest bubble in almost an entire century

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Around 26,000 is the DJIA at the 23 of this month. It has been around this level for weeks. This does not make this valuation less ridiculous. We were in ever increasing bubble territory last in 2019 already. Then came the biggest economic event since 1945. The world overall will be changed more by Covid-19, than it even did on average when the Soviet seized existing.

And yet: “the market” makes up a “V shaped” narration. Hertz, being bankrupt, and therefor worthless, contemplated in earnest to sell a billion dollars worth of its shares. It got approved to do so. But somehow came to its senses and ended up not doing so. It would have been the equivalent of selling a burning house.

Somehow trades think that with a vaccine everything will just snap back to normal. And they probably think that a vaccine is as easy as them entering a trade on their keyboard. It is not. Coronaviruses got discovered more than 50 years ago. They make up about a third of the common. Vaccines we have developed against them: exactly zero. Covid-19 is luckily rather stable. I am personally hopeful that we will have candidates and some that will work. But it takes time to develop, test, produce and then distribute them. A vaccine will probably not make an impact this year. So this year all we can do is to social distance. Different countries can apparently do so at varying degrees. Social distancing has commercial impact. Not only for opera chorus singers. For everybody. The stock market is supposed to be about the future. Right now it certainly is not.

It is not impossible that the shape of the recovery will be “L shaped” – Pretending as if nothing happened and money printing of the feds will just magically fix everything makes no sense. At all.