same, but worse

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The recent daily case surge appears to have the same of increase than the initial one back in March had. Which is strange on a linear scale: More base infections should create more daily case if the effective R would be the same. It seems that the effects of better social distancing and masks happen to make up for the higher number of infected people in the country. So just one of these spurious coincidences.

The overall infection number is still 50% higher than it was during the first peak. Which is a really bad thing: In a couple of weeks hospitals will notice and death numbers will increase again. Significantly.

It’s not that people could just take Hydroxy (with or without the Z Pac) and then be better. Not that they didn’t try. They did. Allot.

And: To no avail.

zu

unkategorisch

In all der Internet Eile ist Arthur Landwehr von der Tagesschau dann leider aber auch nicht mehr in der Lage kompetent deutsch zu schreiben. Und ja, in der URL heisst es dann wirklich auch teleofonat.

Ich bin dankbar das etwas bei der Tagesschau die seltene Ausnahme ist. Was dabei heraus kommt wenn Fehler die Regel wird kann man hier sehen. It ain’t pretty. Irgendwann frisst sich das sprachliche Unvermögen ins Verständlich machen. Bei mir leider ständig. Bei der Tagesschau nie.

look ma, bigger hands

media politics

“Good job Barron, we so gonna use it. I knew you are good with with the cyber”*

*in slovene

how to panic people

media

There was a H1n1 based flu epidemic that killed 18.000 people. It probably originated in pigs in north America. Now there is a new strain, it seems to be able to jump from pig to human, but not from human to human.

An info nugget like this can generate clicks. It has the potential to freak people out: Covid-19 is not vanishing quickly. The public needs a new topic every couple of weeks. Covid-19 kills people. More and more globally, but people no longer want to hear about it. So this new thing will just be the ticket: Even larger, scarier. As everything that is undefined and nebulous.

timing

unkategorisch

There was a virus. Then there were protests over George Floyd. The cases rise now again. I wondered why Trumpists didn’t PR the connection between spread and protests more. I think they will, once the case surge condensates in death counts. Timing matters and you can wield a story only ones in a meme driven public. It has to be always new new new. So in two weeks we will hear allot how the protests caused the deaths.

h1b impact

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158 years ago Congress signed the Pacific Railroad Act. Less than 7 years later the ‘golden spike’ marked the completion of the project. Around 20,000 immigrant laborers had flattened a strip of earth between the Atlantic and the Pacific enough so that steam locomotives could drag wagons over two continuous parallel iron strips. 90 years after some agricultural colonies had seceded from their homeland the United States should become the industrial nation par excellence. The people building the railroad came from China in the west and from Europe in the east.

The tech industry in 2020 uses foreign labor too. Around 350,000 workers on an H1B visa are stuck outside of the US. That is allot of coders. There are smart people everywhere. Actual intelligence is distributed as a gaussian curve. (if you ask people about their own intelligence you’ll find a strange peak ‘above average’). India has a good education system. So lots of actual coders are from India. Code is the wrought iron of our age. If you would print the code that runs on your phone, then paper would fill a gym. Somebody had to write all that code. Most like she was born in Chhindwara and not in Chesapeake.

How much these people will be missed has to be seen. I think it will be allot. While all the code got written nobody cared how it came into being. That will change.

gps in agriculture

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Farming is not the first technology, but is the one that put mankind on a development trajectory with a speed that had never existed before. To know where you are on the planet has been a challenge that got solved relatively late. The cockpit of 747 still hat a hole in its cockpit so that the navigator could shoot the stars to get a location.

Right now there are a couple of systems:

  • Navstar, USA, 1993
  • Glonass, Russia, 2005
  • Galileo, EU, 2016
  • NavIC, India, 2018, regional
  • Michibki, Japan, 2018, regional
  • BeiDou, China, 2020

Precision is anywhere from millimeters (claims by China), to cm (EU, if it finally works and encrypted) to meters (everybody).

Combining GPS with farming makes total sense. Interesting that the savings can be so substantial high once the equipment gets guided by math, not a farmers.

noise2news

economy media

I wonder if journalists, or Goldman Sachs for that matter, will ever learn to read graphs, and more importantly when it stops making sense willing some trend lines into some randomly scattered points.

don’t call it a wave

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Comparing Israel and Germany one can see the difference of dynamics between an outbreak and a wave. Germany found more than 1000 infected workers in a animal slaughter factory. It locked everything down in that area. While it is too early to finally say it seems that this worked.

Ideally incidences get treated like a localized outbreak. One that can be dealt with via isolation. If you have a ‘wave’ at hand you need to adjust the behavior of everybody. Thats expensive, and after a while will grow old for countries.

travelunban, EU July ’20 edition

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  • Algeria
  • Australia
  • Canada
  • Georgia
  • Japan
  • Montenegro
  • Morocco
  • New Zealand
  • Rwanda
  • Serbia
  • South Korea
  • Thailand
  • Tunisia
  • Uruguay

are the countries from where citizens can enter the European Union starting tomorrow, July 1st. The list does not contain the UK since till the end of the year they are technically a member.

The list does not contain the USA. Since, well , the numbers are not good enough.

The list does not contain China since the EU wants first that its citizens can go there as well.

For the longest time Trump boasted that Corona was handled so well by him since he shut down travel from China and then Europe so early. Nobody asked how that would be enough, since Italy shut down travel from China days before the US. And so I guess nobody will ask him about the US not being allowed into Europe when he brings this up the next time.