Netflix’ SAFE

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Netflix 2018 8 part limited series SAFE was rather enjoyable. Keep on watching a little bit longer should it not seem to tickle your fancy. It is not that it would turn into something completely different. But the story and the characters get more interesting as it develops.

Vo: 40% asymptomatic, BUT

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Vo was a village in Italy where the first person in Europe died from Covid-19. This paper outlines that 40% of the people that got tested positive were asymptomatic. It is noteworthy that 73 people tested positive in the first and only 29 people tested positive in the second survey. Since 8 of them were new, this study is based on 81 individuals. That is a number that would make me uncomfortable. It is interesting, but the margin of error could be high. Just a couple of families with some weird genetic effect and you have completely different results for instance.

The latest chapter in the YRC saga: 700 freshly printed dollars.

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700.000.000 that is. From the Treasury. YRC’s past is, shall we say, checkered. And as Todd Maiden aptly states it:

Some may also see this as a bailout of Apollo Global Management (NYSE: APO), which provided YRC with a $600 million term loan in September.

KSK und dann in Rente

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Ich würde den KSK Soldaten die nachgewiesener Weise Nazis sind aus dem Dienst entlassen und die Rente dann in Reichsmark auszahlen. Das die nichts mehr Wert ist ist dann eben Schicksal (oder Vorsehung wie sie es nennen würden). Ob es zum Nachdenken veranlasst ist unklar: Ist ja eher nicht so beliebt das Reflektieren in den ganz weit außen liegenden fauligen Gesinnungsecken.

same, but worse

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The recent daily case surge appears to have the same of increase than the initial one back in March had. Which is strange on a linear scale: More base infections should create more daily case if the effective R would be the same. It seems that the effects of better social distancing and masks happen to make up for the higher number of infected people in the country. So just one of these spurious coincidences.

The overall infection number is still 50% higher than it was during the first peak. Which is a really bad thing: In a couple of weeks hospitals will notice and death numbers will increase again. Significantly.

It’s not that people could just take Hydroxy (with or without the Z Pac) and then be better. Not that they didn’t try. They did. Allot.

And: To no avail.

zu

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In all der Internet Eile ist Arthur Landwehr von der Tagesschau dann leider aber auch nicht mehr in der Lage kompetent deutsch zu schreiben. Und ja, in der URL heisst es dann wirklich auch teleofonat.

Ich bin dankbar das etwas bei der Tagesschau die seltene Ausnahme ist. Was dabei heraus kommt wenn Fehler die Regel wird kann man hier sehen. It ain’t pretty. Irgendwann frisst sich das sprachliche Unvermögen ins Verständlich machen. Bei mir leider ständig. Bei der Tagesschau nie.

timing

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There was a virus. Then there were protests over George Floyd. The cases rise now again. I wondered why Trumpists didn’t PR the connection between spread and protests more. I think they will, once the case surge condensates in death counts. Timing matters and you can wield a story only ones in a meme driven public. It has to be always new new new. So in two weeks we will hear allot how the protests caused the deaths.

h1b impact

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158 years ago Congress signed the Pacific Railroad Act. Less than 7 years later the ‘golden spike’ marked the completion of the project. Around 20,000 immigrant laborers had flattened a strip of earth between the Atlantic and the Pacific enough so that steam locomotives could drag wagons over two continuous parallel iron strips. 90 years after some agricultural colonies had seceded from their homeland the United States should become the industrial nation par excellence. The people building the railroad came from China in the west and from Europe in the east.

The tech industry in 2020 uses foreign labor too. Around 350,000 workers on an H1B visa are stuck outside of the US. That is allot of coders. There are smart people everywhere. Actual intelligence is distributed as a gaussian curve. (if you ask people about their own intelligence you’ll find a strange peak ‘above average’). India has a good education system. So lots of actual coders are from India. Code is the wrought iron of our age. If you would print the code that runs on your phone, then paper would fill a gym. Somebody had to write all that code. Most like she was born in Chhindwara and not in Chesapeake.

How much these people will be missed has to be seen. I think it will be allot. While all the code got written nobody cared how it came into being. That will change.

gps in agriculture

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Farming is not the first technology, but is the one that put mankind on a development trajectory with a speed that had never existed before. To know where you are on the planet has been a challenge that got solved relatively late. The cockpit of 747 still hat a hole in its cockpit so that the navigator could shoot the stars to get a location.

Right now there are a couple of systems:

  • Navstar, USA, 1993
  • Glonass, Russia, 2005
  • Galileo, EU, 2016
  • NavIC, India, 2018, regional
  • Michibki, Japan, 2018, regional
  • BeiDou, China, 2020

Precision is anywhere from millimeters (claims by China), to cm (EU, if it finally works and encrypted) to meters (everybody).

Combining GPS with farming makes total sense. Interesting that the savings can be so substantial high once the equipment gets guided by math, not a farmers.

don’t call it a wave

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Comparing Israel and Germany one can see the difference of dynamics between an outbreak and a wave. Germany found more than 1000 infected workers in a animal slaughter factory. It locked everything down in that area. While it is too early to finally say it seems that this worked.

Ideally incidences get treated like a localized outbreak. One that can be dealt with via isolation. If you have a ‘wave’ at hand you need to adjust the behavior of everybody. Thats expensive, and after a while will grow old for countries.